Page 2 of 3 FirstFirst 123 LastLast
Results 11 to 20 of 28

Thread: Probability Question.. please answer if you are mathematically great... :)

  1. #11
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    Adelaide, Australia
    Posts
    687
    Anyone else wanna havea stad at it?? I need some evidence that the Question was too hard..
    2 week temp ban (spam and complaining about deleted posts)
    register another account and you're gone for good.

  2. #12
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    Adelaide, Australia
    Posts
    687
    Time to give the answer??
    2 week temp ban (spam and complaining about deleted posts)
    register another account and you're gone for good.

  3. #13
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    Adelaide, Australia
    Posts
    687
    OKAY!!!!!!!!!

    the correct answer is......

    97/100 * 97/99 * 97/98 ....................... which equals.....

    94.070604 %

    about 94/100

    WHY???

    the TOP number doesn't change becasue there is always 3 tickets left that COULD win, but don't...

    The bottom number goes down by 1 each time as there is 1 ticket drawn from the barrel...

    Any questions???
    2 week temp ban (spam and complaining about deleted posts)
    register another account and you're gone for good.

  4. #14
    Maximum Bitrate Raas's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2001
    Location
    The Netherlands
    Posts
    626
    that pretty much explains why I wasn't any good at this subject..
    ehehehheheheh
    Raas - The Netherlands
    ME: VIA epia m10000, lilliput 7', opus 150w, 80gb<br>
    GF: IBM Thinkpad 380, ext. 3.5 80gb, 40x4, PB-IR

  5. #15
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    Adelaide, Australia
    Posts
    687
    yep........
    2 week temp ban (spam and complaining about deleted posts)
    register another account and you're gone for good.

  6. #16
    Constant Bitrate
    Join Date
    Dec 1999
    Location
    Austin, TX
    Posts
    117
    no, I'm sorry, but the answer you just gave is incorrect. It assumes that the number of eligible tickets is constant, where it quite clearly is not. We can see this by analyzing each round.

    in all rounds, we have 3 tickets.
    in the first, there are our 3 tickets, plus 97 others eligible. the odds of winning are 3/100 (odds of losing: 97/100).

    in the second, one ticket from the others is no longer eligible. so there are our 3 tickets plus 96 others. odds of winning are 3/99 (odds of not winning the second round are therefore 96/99)

    third round is our 3 plus 95 others. to win: 3/98, to lose: 95/98.

    The numerators of each round must add up to the denominator, otherwise you end up with more than 1, which makes no sense probabilistically.

    I stand by the previous answer given by posters here.

    Edit: wrote 98 when I meant 95.

  7. #17
    Raw Wave Rob Withey's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2000
    Location
    Bedfordshire, UK
    Posts
    2,139
    Originally posted by THEMP3KID
    OKAY!!!!!!!!!

    the correct answer is......

    97/100 * 97/99 * 97/98 ....................... which equals.....

    94.070604 %

    about 94/100

    WHY???

    the TOP number doesn't change becasue there is always 3 tickets left that COULD win, but don't...

    The bottom number goes down by 1 each time as there is 1 ticket drawn from the barrel...

    Any questions???

    If there are always 3 tickets in the barrel that could win, and the number of tickets goes down, then the top number should be the bottom number minus the 3 tickets that could win, ie, the top number goes down too.


    Rob
    Old Systems retired due to new car
    New system at design/prototype stage on BeagleBoard.

  8. #18
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    Adelaide, Australia
    Posts
    687
    Yeah, I see, you are correct, my Maths/Sport teacher is wrong.. I will have to tell him.. LOL HEHEHE HAHA HA AHA
    2 week temp ban (spam and complaining about deleted posts)
    register another account and you're gone for good.

  9. #19
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    Adelaide, Australia
    Posts
    687
    Well, my Maths teacher was away today... so, I will update you on what he says tomorrow, (if he is back) Apparently he took the time off to go to melbourne for a body building competition.. lol... MATHS TEACHER!?!?!?!? BAHHH!!
    2 week temp ban (spam and complaining about deleted posts)
    register another account and you're gone for good.

  10. #20
    FLAC
    Join Date
    May 2002
    Location
    Sef'Kylar
    Posts
    1,421
    I think he is just running away for giving such an absurd answer!
    aka Kumaneko
    "Don't make me moderate your ***!"
    Maxima of Doom - project thread - photo gallery
    mp3car system is currently FUBAR and finances do not allow for a correction of that situation
    Real computer hackers use a rotary cutting tool on their motherboard.

Page 2 of 3 FirstFirst 123 LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •